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E. Maassluis vs Kozakken Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:30

E. Maassluis

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kozakken Boys

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.8% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-19.8%0-26.8%0-33.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.9%1-112.4%1-28.6%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.6%2-17.8%2-25.4%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.4%3-13.3%3-22.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.2% 40.0% 2.50 -14.5%

Draw 26.1% 32.3% 3.10 -19.1%

Away win 39.8% 41.7% 2.40 -4.5%

Over 2.5 49.4% — — —

Over 3.5 27.5% — — —

BTTS 53.8% 62.5% 1.60 -13.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 27.0%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 22%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.8%

A 40% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–1 9.8%

#3 1–0 8.9%

#4 1–2✓ 8.6%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

E. Maassluis1.3

Kozakken Boys1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.4% · O3.5 PROB 27.5%

Form & verdict PPG

E. MAASSLUIS · PPG 1.40

KOZAKKEN BOYS · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

E. Maassluis (H) 34.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -14.5%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -19.1%

Kozakken Boys (A) 39.8%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

E. Maassluis face Kozakken Boys in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives E. Maassluis a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Kozakken Boys 40%, so Kozakken Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for E. Maassluis and 1.4 for Kozakken Boys (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, E. Maassluis are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.67 for Kozakken Boys. This match finished 1-2.

E. Maassluis vs Kozakken Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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