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Deisenhofen vs Schalding Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Deisenhofen

PPG 2.07 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Schalding

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.3%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.9%1-19.1%1-25.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.5%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.1%3-17.0%3-24.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-16.2%4+-23.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.1% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 19.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.0% — — —

Over 3.5 41.9% — — —

BTTS 60.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.4%

H 60% / xG 2.1-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.8%

#2 1–1✓ 9.1%

#3 2–0 8.5%

#4 1–0 7.9%

#5 3–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deisenhofen2.1

Schalding1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 41.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DEISENHOFEN · PPG 2.07

SCHALDING · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs P(Home)=60.1%

Win probability 1X2

Deisenhofen (H) 60.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Schalding (A) 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deisenhofen face Schalding in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deisenhofen a 60% chance, the draw 20% and Schalding 20%, so Deisenhofen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Deisenhofen and 1.2 for Schalding (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deisenhofen are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.23 for Schalding. This match finished 1-1.

Deisenhofen vs Schalding Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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