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Villingen vs Goppinger SV Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Villingen logo
Villingen
PPG 1.71 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Goppinger SV logo
Goppinger SV
PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-16.0%0-24.8%0-32.6%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.3%1-110.1%1-28.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.3%2-18.5%2-26.8%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.9%3-14.7%3-23.8%3-32.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.9%4+-22.3%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 39.9%
Draw 23.1%
Away win 37.0%
Over 2.5 63.8%
Over 3.5 41.7%
BTTS 65.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 76%
Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob65.0%

H 40% / xG 1.7-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%
#2 2–1 8.5%
#3 1–2 8.1%
#4 2–2 6.8%
#5 1–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Villingen1.7
Goppinger SV1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 41.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VILLINGEN · PPG 1.71

GOPPINGER SV · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Villingen (H) 39.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Goppinger SV (A) 37.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Villingen face Goppinger SV in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villingen a 40% chance, the draw 23% and Goppinger SV 37%, so Villingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Villingen and 1.6 for Goppinger SV (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villingen are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.07 for Goppinger SV. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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