Today / Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg / T. Neckarsulm vs Normannia Gmund

T. Neckarsulm vs Normannia Gmund Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

T. Neckarsulm logo
T. Neckarsulm
PPG 0.86 · HOME
2 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Normannia Gmund logo
Normannia Gmund
PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away POOR (0.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-19.6%0-27.8%0-34.3%0-4+2.5%1 1-07.0%1-111.5%1-29.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.2%2-16.9%2-25.7%2-33.1%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.7%3-12.8%3-22.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.0%
Draw 24.4%
Away win 47.6%
Over 2.5 54.1%
Over 3.5 31.8%
BTTS 56.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 76%
Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-3
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob56.4%

A 48% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%
#2 0–1 9.6%
#3 1–2 9.4%
#4 0–2 7.8%
#5 1–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Neckarsulm1.2
Normannia Gmund1.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

T. NECKARSULM · PPG 0.86

NORMANNIA GMUND · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

T. Neckarsulm (H) 28.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Normannia Gmund (A) 47.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Neckarsulm face Normannia Gmund in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Neckarsulm a 28% chance, the draw 24% and Normannia Gmund 48%, so Normannia Gmund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for T. Neckarsulm and 1.6 for Normannia Gmund (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Neckarsulm are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 0.93 for Normannia Gmund. This match finished 2-3.

PredictVantage

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