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Backnang vs Ravensburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 12:00

Backnang

PPG 1.36 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ravensburg

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-15.6%0-25.9%0-34.1%0-4+3.5%1 1-04.1%1-18.6%1-29.0%1-36.2%1-4+5.3%2 2-03.1%2-16.5%2-26.8%2-34.8%2-4+4.0%3 3-01.6%3-13.3%3-23.5%3-32.4%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.8%4+-21.9%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 50.8% — — —

Over 2.5 70.0% — — —

Over 3.5 48.8% — — —

BTTS 68.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob68.6%

A 51% / xG 1.5-2.1 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.0%

#2 1–1 8.6%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3✓ 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Backnang1.5

Ravensburg2.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.0% · O3.5 PROB 48.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BACKNANG · PPG 1.36

RAVENSBURG · PPG 1.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.36) vs Away GOOD (1.77)

Win probability 1X2

Backnang (H) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ravensburg (A) 50.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Backnang face Ravensburg in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Backnang a 28% chance, the draw 21% and Ravensburg 51%, so Ravensburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Backnang and 2.1 for Ravensburg (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Backnang are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.77 for Ravensburg. This match finished 1-3.

Backnang vs Ravensburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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