Today / Venezuela - Segunda División / Mineros de Guyana vs Atletico Avila FC

Mineros de Guyana vs Atletico Avila FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 19:30

Mineros de Guyana logo
Mineros de Guyana
PPG 0.22 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Atletico Avila FC logo
Atletico Avila FC
PPG 0.56 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.7%0-113.5%0-24.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.5%1-112.7%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.7%2-16.0%2-22.0%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.7%3-11.9%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.8% 55.6% 1.80 -21.2%
Draw 31.2% 30.8% 3.25 +1.4%
Away win 25.0% 25.6% 3.90 -1.5%
Over 2.5 38.8% 45.5% 2.20 -14.6%
Over 3.5 20.5% 25.5% 3.92 -11.8%
BTTS 44.8% 51.8% 1.93 -13.5%
Home O1.5 30.8% 48.1% 2.08 -35.9%
Away O1.5 18.8% 26.0% 3.85 -16.6%

League track record

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 46%
ROI 4.8%
Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.8%

H 44% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.5%
#2 0–0 19.7%
#3 0–1 13.5%
#4 1–1 12.7%
#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mineros de Guyana0.9
Atletico Avila FC0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MINEROS DE GUYANA · PPG 0.22

ATLETICO AVILA FC · PPG 0.56

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value
Chance this pick lands
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 1.62 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Mineros de Guyana (H) 43.8%
ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -21.2%
Draw 31.2%
ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +1.4%
Atletico Avila FC (A) 25.0%
ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mineros de Guyana face Atletico Avila FC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mineros de Guyana a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Atletico Avila FC 25%, so Mineros de Guyana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mineros de Guyana and 0.7 for Atletico Avila FC (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mineros de Guyana are averaging 0.22 points per game versus 0.56 for Atletico Avila FC.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org