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Zamora FC B vs Puerto Cabello II Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 19:30

Zamora FC B

PPG 1.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

Puerto Cabello II

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 56% chance

Model probability 54.8% vs bookmaker-implied 56.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-17.5%0-24.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.9%1-111.8%1-27.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.3%2-25.5%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.1%3-14.9%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.7%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% 50.0% 2.00 -9.4%

Draw 24.9% 30.3% 3.30 -10.7%

Away win 29.9% 31.3% 3.20 -2.6%

Over 2.5 53.8% 50.0% 2.00 +7.6%

Over 3.5 31.7% 30.5% 3.28 +4.0%

BTTS 54.8% 56.8% 1.76 -3.5%

Home O1.5 46.6% 47.6% 2.10 -2.1%

Away O1.5 34.4% 34.1% 2.93 +0.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.8%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 9.9%

#4 2–0 7.8%

#5 1–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zamora FC B1.6

Puerto Cabello II1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ZAMORA FC B · PPG 1.18

PUERTO CABELLO II · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

56%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zamora FC B (H) 45.3%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -9.4%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -10.7%

Puerto Cabello II (A) 29.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zamora FC B face Puerto Cabello II in Venezuela - Segunda División on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zamora FC B a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Puerto Cabello II 30%, so Zamora FC B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Zamora FC B and 1.2 for Puerto Cabello II (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zamora FC B are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.00 for Puerto Cabello II. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.6%.

Zamora FC B vs Puerto Cabello II Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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