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Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Cipolletti Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Winners Stage · Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 18:30

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

PPG 2.27 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWL

UPCOMING

Cipolletti

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWLD

// Model verdict

Home 62% chance

Model probability 55.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.6%0-16.4%0-21.0%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-026.7%1-17.9%1-21.2%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.5%2-14.9%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-06.8%3-12.0%3-20.3%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.2% 65.4% 1.53 -15.5%

Draw 28.8% 30.3% 3.30 -3.0%

Away win 16.1% 14.3% 7.00 +7.6%

Over 2.5 34.6% 40.0% 2.50 -13.5%

Over 3.5 17.8% 22.2% 4.50 -11.9%

BTTS 41.7% 38.2% 2.62 +9.3%

Home O1.5 34.2% 50.0% 2.00 -31.6%

Away O1.5 11.1% 14.3% 7.00 -13.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 123 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 3.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob41.7%

H 55% / xG 1.2-0.3 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 26.7%

#2 0–0 21.6%

#3 2–0 16.5%

#4 0–1 6.4%

#5 1–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olimpo Bahia Blanca1.2

Cipolletti0.3

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OLIMPO BAHIA BLANCA · PPG 2.27

CIPOLLETTI · PPG 0.90

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

62%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.94 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Olimpo Bahia Blanca (H) 55.2%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -15.5%

Draw 28.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -3.0%

Cipolletti (A) 16.1%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +7.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olimpo Bahia Blanca face Cipolletti in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olimpo Bahia Blanca a 55% chance, the draw 29% and Cipolletti 16%, so Olimpo Bahia Blanca are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca and 0.3 for Cipolletti (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olimpo Bahia Blanca are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 0.90 for Cipolletti. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +9.3%.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Cipolletti Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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