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Huracan Las Heras vs Argentino Monte Maíz Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Winners Stage · Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 18:30

Huracan Las Heras

PPG 1.90 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWL

UPCOMING

Argentino Monte Maíz

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.8%0-112.9%0-23.5%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.3%1-111.5%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.5%2-15.2%2-21.4%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.8%3-11.5%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% 46.5% 2.15 -15.9%

Draw 33.3% 37.0% 2.70 -10.1%

Away win 27.6% 28.6% 3.50 -2.0%

Over 2.5 34.6% 28.6% 3.50 +21.1%

Over 3.5 13.6% 13.3% 7.50 +1.2%

BTTS 41.7% 33.3% 3.00 +25.1%

Home O1.5 30.8% 29.4% 3.40 +4.7%

Away O1.5 14.0% 20.0% 5.00 -18.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 123 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 3.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob41.7%

H 39% / xG 0.9-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.8%

#2 1–0 21.3%

#3 0–1 12.9%

#4 1–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huracan Las Heras0.9

Argentino Monte Maíz0.5

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 13.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HURACAN LAS HERAS · PPG 1.90

ARGENTINO MONTE MAÍZ · PPG 0.73

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

42%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.35, combined xG 1.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Huracan Las Heras (H) 39.1%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -15.9%

Draw 33.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -10.1%

Argentino Monte Maíz (A) 27.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huracan Las Heras face Argentino Monte Maíz in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huracan Las Heras a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Argentino Monte Maíz 28%, so Huracan Las Heras are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Huracan Las Heras and 0.5 for Argentino Monte Maíz (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huracan Las Heras are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 0.73 for Argentino Monte Maíz. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +25.1%.

Huracan Las Heras vs Argentino Monte Maíz Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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