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Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Losers Stage · Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 18:00

Juventud Unida Univ.

PPG 1.10 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDLW

UPCOMING

Santamarina

PPG 0.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.4%0-18.3%0-21.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.7%1-19.5%1-21.8%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.3%2-15.5%2-21.1%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.5%3-12.1%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% 69.0% 1.45 -29.4%

Draw 30.5% 28.6% 3.50 +6.8%

Away win 20.7% 14.3% 7.00 +26.9%

Over 2.5 34.6% 48.1% 2.08 -28.0%

Over 3.5 14.8% 22.2% 4.50 -20.0%

BTTS 41.7% 42.0% 2.38 -0.8%

Home O1.5 31.4% 47.6% 2.10 -34.1%

Away O1.5 11.1% 20.0% 5.00 -26.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 123 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 3.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob41.7%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.4 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 24.7%

#2 0–0 21.4%

#3 0–1 8.3%

#4 2–0 14.3%

#5 1–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventud Unida Univ.1.2

Santamarina0.4

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 14.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUD UNIDA UNIV. · PPG 1.10

SANTAMARINA · PPG 0.36

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

49%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.77 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Juventud Unida Univ. (H) 48.7%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -29.4%

Draw 30.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +6.8%

Santamarina (A) 20.7%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +26.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventud Unida Univ. face Santamarina in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventud Unida Univ. a 49% chance, the draw 31% and Santamarina 21%, so Juventud Unida Univ. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Juventud Unida Univ. and 0.4 for Santamarina (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventud Unida Univ. are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 0.36 for Santamarina.

Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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