Alaves vs Mallorca Prediction & Tips

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 32 Estadio Mendizorrotza· Vitoria-Gasteiz Saturday, April 25, 2026 12:00

Alaves PPG 1.40

2-1 HIT CS3

Mallorca PPG 0.40

Home· +24.1% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Home 58.0%

Odds: 2.14 EV: +24.1%

Draw 22.0%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -29.6%

Away 20.0%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -31.0%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 56.7% Odds: 2.00 +13.4%

Over 3.5 34.3% Odds: 3.45 +18.3%

BTTS 55.1% Odds: 1.75 -3.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Alaves

1.92

Mallorca

1.04

Model SuggestionHome +24.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -19.9%

Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=58.0%