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Čáslav vs Benátky nad Jizerou Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Group B · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:00

Čáslav

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

UPCOMING

Benátky nad Jizerou

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDD ··

// Model verdict

BTTS 64% chance

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-18.0%0-25.6%0-32.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.3%1-111.7%1-28.2%1-33.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-18.5%2-26.0%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.9%3-14.1%3-22.9%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.1%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 43.5% 2.30 -16.7%

Draw 24.3% 27.0% 3.70 -6.0%

Away win 39.6% 40.8% 2.45 -3.0%

Over 2.5 53.8% 62.5% 1.60 -13.9%

Over 3.5 31.7% 41.2% 2.43 -23.0%

BTTS 54.6% 67.6% 1.48 -19.2%

Home O1.5 39.9% 50.8% 1.97 -21.4%

Away O1.5 42.2% 49.0% 2.04 -13.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 40% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 0–1 8.0%

#5 0–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Čáslav1.5

Benátky nad Jizerou1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ČÁSLAV · PPG 1.25

BENÁTKY NAD JIZEROU · PPG 1.22

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

64%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Čáslav (H) 36.2%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -16.7%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.0%

Benátky nad Jizerou (A) 39.6%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -3.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Čáslav face Benátky nad Jizerou in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Čáslav a 36% chance, the draw 24% and Benátky nad Jizerou 40%, so Benátky nad Jizerou are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Čáslav and 1.4 for Benátky nad Jizerou (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Čáslav are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.22 for Benátky nad Jizerou.

Čáslav vs Benátky nad Jizerou Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Match Preview & Prediction

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