Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B / Jablonec II vs Slovan Liberec II
Jablonec II vs Slovan Liberec II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B
Group B · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 08:15
// Model verdict
Over 2.5 69% chance
Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 57% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%
Form & verdict
JABLONEC II · PPG 1.81
SLOVAN LIBEREC II · PPG 1.45
xG gap +0.98 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Jablonec II face Slovan Liberec II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jablonec II a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Slovan Liberec II 22%, so Jablonec II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Jablonec II and 1.3 for Slovan Liberec II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jablonec II are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 1.45 for Slovan Liberec II. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +4.6%.