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Hradec Králové II vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Group B · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 08:15

Hradec Králové II

PPG 1.99 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDL ·

UPCOMING

Neratovice-Byškovice

PPG 1.32 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 65% chance

Model probability 63.5% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-14.2%0-22.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.6%1-19.1%1-24.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.7%3-17.1%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-16.4%4+-23.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% 60.6% 1.65 -11.4%

Draw 23.3% 25.0% 4.00 -4.1%

Away win 23.0% 26.3% 3.80 -7.6%

Over 2.5 59.6% 65.4% 1.53 -8.8%

Over 3.5 36.4% 44.1% 2.27 -17.4%

BTTS 55.9% 66.2% 1.51 -15.6%

Home O1.5 63.5% 65.4% 1.53 -2.8%

Away O1.5 32.5% 36.8% 2.72 -11.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.9%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.3%

#4 1–2 4.8%

#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hradec Králové II2.2

Neratovice-Byškovice1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ II · PPG 1.99

NERATOVICE-BYŠKOVICE · PPG 1.32

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

65%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.10 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hradec Králové II (H) 53.7%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -11.4%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -4.1%

Neratovice-Byškovice (A) 23.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -7.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hradec Králové II face Neratovice-Byškovice in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hradec Králové II a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Neratovice-Byškovice 23%, so Hradec Králové II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Hradec Králové II and 1.1 for Neratovice-Byškovice (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hradec Králové II are averaging 1.99 points per game versus 1.32 for Neratovice-Byškovice.

Hradec Králové II vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Match Preview & Prediction

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