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Mladá Boleslav II vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Group B · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:15

Mladá Boleslav II

PPG 1.54 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLW ·

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Neratovice-Byškovice

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 78.4% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+6.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.1%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.0%1-13.9%1-21.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.0%2-16.8%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.1%3-18.0%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-017.3%4+-116.9%4+-28.3%4+-32.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.5% 71.4% 1.40 +7.1%

Draw 15.8% 23.8% 4.20 -20.2%

Away win 7.7% 16.1% 6.20 -31.4%

Over 2.5 71.8% 66.7% 1.50 +7.7%

Over 3.5 50.5% 48.8% 2.05 +3.5%

BTTS 54.7% 61.7% 1.62 -11.4%

Home O1.5 78.4% 73.5% 1.36 +6.6%

Away O1.5 27.8% 29.2% 3.42 -2.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.7%

H 76% / xG 3.5-1.0 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.1%

#2 3–1 8.0%

#3 4–0 7.1%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 4–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mladá Boleslav II3.5

Neratovice-Byškovice1.0

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.8% · O3.5 PROB 50.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MLADÁ BOLESLAV II · PPG 1.54

NERATOVICE-BYŠKOVICE · PPG 1.04

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.51 for Home, form 1.54 vs 1.04 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Mladá Boleslav II (H) 76.5%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV +7.1%

Draw 15.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -20.2%

Neratovice-Byškovice (A) 7.7%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV -31.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mladá Boleslav II face Neratovice-Byškovice in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mladá Boleslav II a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Neratovice-Byškovice 8%, so Mladá Boleslav II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Mladá Boleslav II and 1.0 for Neratovice-Byškovice (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mladá Boleslav II are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.04 for Neratovice-Byškovice. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.7%. This match finished 1-2.

Mladá Boleslav II vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Match Preview & Prediction

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