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Sokol Brozany vs Chrudim Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Group B · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:00

Sokol Brozany

PPG 1.31 · HOME

LAST 5

DLD ··

UPCOMING

Chrudim

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 62% chance

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-16.5%0-24.3%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.3%1-111.0%1-27.3%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.3%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.9%3-15.2%3-23.5%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.2%4+-22.2%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% 47.6% 2.10 -8.9%

Draw 23.4% 26.7% 3.75 -7.3%

Away win 33.2% 37.0% 2.70 -10.4%

Over 2.5 59.6% 62.5% 1.60 -4.6%

Over 3.5 36.4% 41.2% 2.43 -11.6%

BTTS 59.0% 67.1% 1.49 -12.1%

Home O1.5 49.9% 54.1% 1.85 -7.7%

Away O1.5 42.2% 45.5% 2.20 -7.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.0%

H 43% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sokol Brozany1.7

Chrudim1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKOL BROZANY · PPG 1.31

CHRUDIM · PPG 1.21

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

62%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sokol Brozany (H) 43.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -8.9%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -7.3%

Chrudim (A) 33.2%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -10.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sokol Brozany face Chrudim in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sokol Brozany a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Chrudim 33%, so Sokol Brozany are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sokol Brozany and 1.3 for Chrudim (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sokol Brozany are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.21 for Chrudim.

Sokol Brozany vs Chrudim Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Match Preview & Prediction

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