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Baník Souš vs Benátky nad Jizerou Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Baník Souš

PPG 2.12 · HOME

LAST 5

WLW ··

UPCOMING

Benátky nad Jizerou

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDD ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 59.9% vs bookmaker-implied 62.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.3%0-22.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.9%1-19.2%1-24.3%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.9%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.6%3-17.1%3-23.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.6%4+-16.2%4+-22.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% 62.5% 1.60 -10.6%

Draw 22.2% 28.6% 3.50 -13.4%

Away win 21.9% 21.7% 4.60 +0.4%

Over 2.5 53.9% 60.6% 1.65 -11.1%

Over 3.5 35.4% 39.1% 2.56 -9.4%

BTTS 53.0% 59.9% 1.67 -11.5%

Home O1.5 59.9% 62.1% 1.61 -3.6%

Away O1.5 25.6% 30.5% 3.28 -9.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.0%

H 56% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 10.6%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baník Souš2.1

Benátky nad Jizerou0.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 35.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BANÍK SOUŠ · PPG 2.12

BENÁTKY NAD JIZEROU · PPG 1.22

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.21 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Baník Souš (H) 55.9%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -10.6%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -13.4%

Benátky nad Jizerou (A) 21.9%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +0.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Baník Souš face Benátky nad Jizerou in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baník Souš a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Benátky nad Jizerou 22%, so Baník Souš are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Baník Souš and 0.9 for Benátky nad Jizerou (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baník Souš are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.22 for Benátky nad Jizerou.

Baník Souš vs Benátky nad Jizerou Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - CFL B

Match Preview & Prediction

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