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SJK Akatemia vs JäPS Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Group Stage ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:00

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.60 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

UPCOMING

JäPS

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-116.9%0-28.4%0-32.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.1%1-113.1%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.1%2-15.1%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.3%3-11.3%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.1% 40.0% 2.50 -24.8%

Draw 31.7% 32.3% 3.10 -1.7%

Away win 38.1% 41.7% 2.40 -8.6%

Over 2.5 40.2% 54.1% 1.85 -25.6%

Over 3.5 20.9% 33.3% 3.00 -22.4%

BTTS 48.0% 61.7% 1.62 -22.2%

Home O1.5 30.8% 42.0% 2.38 -26.7%

Away O1.5 30.2% 44.4% 2.25 -32.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -12.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.0%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.9%

#2 0–1 16.9%

#3 1–0 13.1%

#4 1–1 13.1%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK Akatemia0.8

JäPS1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.2% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.60

JÄPS · PPG 1.00

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.22, combined xG 1.78 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SJK Akatemia (H) 30.1%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -24.8%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -1.7%

JäPS (A) 38.1%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -8.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK Akatemia face JäPS in Finland - Ykkosliga on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK Akatemia a 30% chance, the draw 32% and JäPS 38%, so JäPS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for SJK Akatemia and 1.0 for JäPS (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK Akatemia are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.00 for JäPS.

SJK Akatemia vs JäPS Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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