Today / Finland - Ykkosliga / PK-35 vs EIF
PK-35 vs EIF Prediction— Finland - Ykkosliga
Group Stage ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 16:00
// Model verdict
Home Over 1.5
Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 39 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 66% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%
Form & verdict
PK-35 · PPG 1.73
EIF · PPG 0.80
xG gap +1.57 for Home, form 1.73 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
PK-35 face EIF in Finland - Ykkosliga on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PK-35 a 66% chance, the draw 19% and EIF 15%, so PK-35 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for PK-35 and 0.8 for EIF (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PK-35 are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.80 for EIF. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +18.8%.