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Znicz Pruszków vs Hutnik Kraków Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:30

Znicz Pruszków

PPG 1.61 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDW

UPCOMING

Hutnik Kraków

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS 65% chance

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-19.0%0-25.9%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.3%1-112.3%1-28.1%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.4%2-18.4%2-25.5%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.9%3-13.8%3-22.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% 48.8% 2.05 -22.7%

Draw 25.7% 30.3% 3.30 -9.1%

Away win 36.6% 33.3% 3.00 +9.8%

Over 2.5 53.8% 65.4% 1.53 -17.7%

Over 3.5 31.6% 44.4% 2.25 -28.9%

BTTS 55.3% 69.4% 1.44 -20.4%

Home O1.5 39.5% 55.6% 1.80 -28.9%

Away O1.5 41.8% 45.5% 2.20 -8.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 14.9%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.3%

H 38% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Znicz Pruszków1.4

Hutnik Kraków1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ZNICZ PRUSZKÓW · PPG 1.61

HUTNIK KRAKÓW · PPG 1.36

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

65%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Znicz Pruszków (H) 37.7%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -22.7%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -9.1%

Hutnik Kraków (A) 36.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Znicz Pruszków face Hutnik Kraków in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Znicz Pruszków a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Hutnik Kraków 37%, so Znicz Pruszków are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Znicz Pruszków and 1.3 for Hutnik Kraków (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Znicz Pruszków are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.36 for Hutnik Kraków. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +3.1%.

Znicz Pruszków vs Hutnik Kraków Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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