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Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Matchday 8 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:00

Petrolul Ploiesti

PPG 1.53 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLW

UPCOMING

Corvinul Hunedoara

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-111.8%0-24.9%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.0%1-113.2%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.0%2-17.4%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.3%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% 37.0% 2.70 +11.0%

Draw 28.9% 33.3% 3.00 -8.0%

Away win 30.0% 40.0% 2.50 -25.0%

Over 2.5 42.7% 46.5% 2.15 -8.2%

Over 3.5 20.9% 26.7% 3.75 -13.0%

BTTS 48.0% 55.6% 1.80 -13.6%

Home O1.5 31.1% 38.2% 2.62 -18.5%

Away O1.5 23.6% 38.2% 2.62 -22.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.0%

H 41% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.0%

#2 0–0 14.3%

#3 1–1 13.2%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrolul Ploiesti1.1

Corvinul Hunedoara0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PETROLUL PLOIESTI · PPG 1.53

CORVINUL HUNEDOARA · PPG 1.19

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.29, combined xG 1.94 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Petrolul Ploiesti (H) 41.1%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +11.0%

Draw 28.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.0%

Corvinul Hunedoara (A) 30.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -25.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrolul Ploiesti face Corvinul Hunedoara in Romania - Liga I on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrolul Ploiesti a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Corvinul Hunedoara 30%, so Petrolul Ploiesti are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Petrolul Ploiesti and 0.8 for Corvinul Hunedoara (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrolul Ploiesti are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.19 for Corvinul Hunedoara. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +3.5%.

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara Prediction— Romania - Liga I

Match Preview & Prediction

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