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Vasalund vs Enköping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra · Matchday 20 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 11:00

Vasalund

PPG 1.78 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDWL

UPCOMING

Enköping

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 65% chance

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.7%0-24.8%0-32.6%0-4+1.6%1 1-05.9%1-19.8%1-28.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.3%2-26.9%2-33.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.9%3-14.7%3-23.9%3-32.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.0%4+-22.5%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.9% 57.1% 1.75 -24.9%

Draw 22.7% 28.6% 3.50 -12.3%

Away win 34.3% 27.8% 3.60 +23.5%

Over 2.5 63.7% 65.4% 1.53 -2.5%

Over 3.5 40.5% 44.4% 2.25 -8.9%

BTTS 63.4% 66.7% 1.50 -4.9%

Home O1.5 49.9% 62.9% 1.59 -20.7%

Away O1.5 47.9% 39.8% 2.51 +20.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.4%

H 43% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vasalund1.7

Enköping1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VASALUND · PPG 1.78

ENKÖPING · PPG 1.11

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

65%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vasalund (H) 42.9%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -24.9%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -12.3%

Enköping (A) 34.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +23.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vasalund face Enköping in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vasalund a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Enköping 34%, so Vasalund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Vasalund and 1.7 for Enköping (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vasalund are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.11 for Enköping. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +70.1%.

Vasalund vs Enköping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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