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Zlín II vs Blansko Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 6 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 08:30

Zlín II

PPG 1.72 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDDD

UPCOMING

Blansko

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 72% chance

Model probability 66.1% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.0%0-22.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.8%1-18.9%1-25.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.3%3-17.2%3-24.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-16.6%4+-23.8%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.3% 69.4% 1.44 -17.5%

Draw 21.3% 22.2% 4.50 -2.5%

Away win 21.4% 20.0% 5.00 +4.2%

Over 2.5 61.9% 69.4% 1.44 -10.9%

Over 3.5 40.2% 47.6% 2.10 -15.6%

BTTS 58.4% 64.1% 1.56 -8.9%

Home O1.5 66.1% 74.1% 1.35 -10.8%

Away O1.5 33.2% 33.4% 2.99 -0.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 28.1%

Bet Hit 82%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.4%

H 57% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 3–1 7.2%

#5 1–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zlín II2.2

Blansko1.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ZLÍN II · PPG 1.72

BLANSKO · PPG 0.83

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

72%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.07 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Zlín II (H) 57.3%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -17.5%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -2.5%

Blansko (A) 21.4%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +4.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zlín II face Blansko in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zlín II a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Blansko 21%, so Zlín II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Zlín II and 1.1 for Blansko (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zlín II are averaging 1.72 points per game versus 0.83 for Blansko. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +11.6%.

Zlín II vs Blansko Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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