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Vítkovice vs Slovácko II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Vítkovice

PPG 1.51 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLWW

UPCOMING

Slovácko II

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDDW

// Model verdict

BTTS 65% chance

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 68.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-18.0%0-25.4%0-32.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.8%1-111.8%1-28.0%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.5%2-18.7%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.2%3-14.3%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.0% 47.6% 2.10 -13.9%

Draw 24.6% 27.8% 3.60 -6.9%

Away win 34.4% 36.4% 2.75 -5.4%

Over 2.5 53.8% 58.8% 1.70 -8.5%

Over 3.5 31.7% 43.5% 2.30 -27.1%

BTTS 55.9% 68.5% 1.46 -18.4%

Home O1.5 39.9% 54.3% 1.84 -26.6%

Away O1.5 42.2% 47.6% 2.10 -11.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 40.9%

Bet Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.9%

H 41% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 8.8%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vítkovice1.5

Slovácko II1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VÍTKOVICE · PPG 1.51

SLOVÁCKO II · PPG 1.23

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

65%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vítkovice (H) 41.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -13.9%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.9%

Slovácko II (A) 34.4%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -5.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vítkovice face Slovácko II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vítkovice a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Slovácko II 34%, so Vítkovice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Vítkovice and 1.3 for Slovácko II (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vítkovice are averaging 1.51 points per game versus 1.23 for Slovácko II.

Vítkovice vs Slovácko II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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