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Blansko vs Polanka nad Odrou Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 17 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 14:30

Blansko

PPG 0.98 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLLL

UPCOMING

Polanka nad Odrou

PPG 0.97 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 65.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-16.6%0-25.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.1%1-110.7%1-28.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.7%2-26.5%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.1%3-14.7%3-23.5%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.7%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 50.0% 2.00 -23.0%

Draw 23.7% 26.7% 3.75 -6.7%

Away win 37.9% 34.5% 2.90 +9.9%

Over 2.5 60.1% 62.5% 1.60 -3.8%

Over 3.5 37.2% 42.0% 2.38 -11.5%

BTTS 61.5% 65.8% 1.52 -6.5%

Home O1.5 48.1% 57.8% 1.73 -16.8%

Away O1.5 43.9% 41.2% 2.43 +6.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 35.9%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.5%

H 38% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–1 8.7%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Blansko1.6

Polanka nad Odrou1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 37.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BLANSKO · PPG 0.98

POLANKA NAD ODROU · PPG 0.97

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Blansko (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -23.0%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -6.7%

Polanka nad Odrou (A) 37.9%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +9.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Blansko face Polanka nad Odrou in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blansko a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Polanka nad Odrou 38%, so Blansko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Blansko and 1.5 for Polanka nad Odrou (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blansko are averaging 0.98 points per game versus 0.97 for Polanka nad Odrou. The best value bet our model finds is RES_A/O15, with an expected value of +9.6%.

Blansko vs Polanka nad Odrou Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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