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West Brom vs Ipswich Town Prediction— England - Championship

Matchday 45 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

West Brom

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Ipswich Town

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDDW

// Model verdict

BTTS 55% chance

Model probability 50.0% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-111.3%0-27.6%0-33.4%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.6%1-112.8%1-28.6%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.4%2-17.2%2-24.8%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.0%3-12.7%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.5% 31.3% 3.20 +0.8%

Draw 27.0% 29.4% 3.40 -8.2%

Away win 41.5% 46.5% 2.15 -10.8%

Over 2.5 44.8% 50.0% 2.00 -10.4%

Over 3.5 23.6% 28.6% 3.50 -17.4%

BTTS 50.0% 56.5% 1.77 -11.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -5.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 16%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob50.0%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.3 / O2.5 45% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–1 11.3%

#3 1–0 9.6%

#4 1–2 8.6%

#5 0–0✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

West Brom1.1

Ipswich Town1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 23.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WEST BROM · PPG 1.50

IPSWICH TOWN · PPG 1.52

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

55%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.52)

Win probability 1X2

West Brom (H) 31.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +0.8%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -8.2%

Ipswich Town (A) 41.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -10.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

West Brom face Ipswich Town in England - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives West Brom a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Ipswich Town 42%, so Ipswich Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for West Brom and 1.3 for Ipswich Town (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, West Brom are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.52 for Ipswich Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 0-0.

West Brom vs Ipswich Town Prediction— England - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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