Charlton vs Hull City Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 45 The Valley· London Saturday, April 25, 2026 11:30

Charlton PPG 1.27

2-1 HIT CS5

Hull City PPG 1.59

Home· +4.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Charlton face Hull City in England - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charlton a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Hull City 34%, so Charlton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Charlton and 1.2 for Hull City (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charlton are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.59 for Hull City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.0%

Odds: 2.76 EV: +4.9%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -10.0%

Away 34.3%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -14.2%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.7% Odds: 1.90 -18.9%

Over 3.5 21.9% Odds: 3.25 -28.8%

BTTS 48.5% Odds: 1.70 -17.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlton

1.23

Hull City

1.16

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -1.0%

Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.27) vs Away GOOD (1.59)