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Charlton vs Hull City Prediction— England - Championship

Matchday 45 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Charlton

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLWL

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Hull City

PPG 1.59 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.6%0-26.1%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.3%1-113.1%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.0%2-18.0%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.9%3-13.3%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.0% 36.2% 2.76 +4.9%

Draw 27.7% 30.8% 3.25 -10.0%

Away win 34.3% 40.0% 2.50 -14.2%

Over 2.5 42.7% 52.6% 1.90 -18.9%

Over 3.5 21.9% 30.8% 3.25 -28.8%

BTTS 48.5% 58.8% 1.70 -17.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -5.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.5%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 11.3%

#3 0–1 10.6%

#4 0–0 9.2%

#5 2–1✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Charlton1.2

Hull City1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CHARLTON · PPG 1.27

HULL CITY · PPG 1.59

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

49%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.27) vs Away GOOD (1.59)

Win probability 1X2

Charlton (H) 38.0%

ODDS 2.76 · IMPLIED 36.2% EV +4.9%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -10.0%

Hull City (A) 34.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -14.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Charlton face Hull City in England - Championship on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charlton a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Hull City 34%, so Charlton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Charlton and 1.2 for Hull City (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charlton are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.59 for Hull City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Charlton vs Hull City Prediction— England - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Championship Predictions