Today / Poland - II Liga - East / Slask Wroclaw B vs Sandecja Nowy

Slask Wroclaw B vs Sandecja Nowy Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:15

Slask Wroclaw B logo
Slask Wroclaw B
PPG 1.14 · HOME
0 – 4
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Sandecja Nowy logo
Sandecja Nowy
PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.14) vs Away GOOD (1.64)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-17.0%0-24.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.0%1-111.2%1-27.8%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.9%2-26.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.4%3-14.8%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.7%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.5% 36.4% 2.75 +16.9%
Draw 24.2% 31.3% 3.20 -22.6%
Away win 33.3% 44.4% 2.25 -25.1%
Over 2.5 57.4% 55.6% 1.80 +3.3%
Over 3.5 35.0%
BTTS 59.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 53%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -7.9%
Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-4
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.9%

H 42% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%
#2 2–1 8.9%
#3 1–0 8.0%
#4 1–2 7.8%
#5 0–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slask Wroclaw B1.6
Sandecja Nowy1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.4% · O3.5 PROB 35.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SLASK WROCLAW B · PPG 1.14

SANDECJA NOWY · PPG 1.64

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.14) vs Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

Slask Wroclaw B (H) 42.5%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +16.9%
Draw 24.2%
ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -22.6%
Sandecja Nowy (A) 33.3%
ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -25.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slask Wroclaw B face Sandecja Nowy in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slask Wroclaw B a 43% chance, the draw 24% and Sandecja Nowy 33%, so Slask Wroclaw B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Slask Wroclaw B and 1.4 for Sandecja Nowy (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slask Wroclaw B are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.64 for Sandecja Nowy. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.9%. This match finished 0-4.

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