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Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 15:00

Chojniczanka Chojnice

PPG 1.26 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWD

UPCOMING

Resovia Rzeszów

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-16.8%0-23.5%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.2%1-111.5%1-25.9%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.7%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.3%3-15.4%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.3%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.6% 57.1% 1.75 -8.0%

Draw 24.2% 30.3% 3.30 -12.1%

Away win 23.1% 25.0% 4.00 -4.6%

Over 2.5 53.8% 59.9% 1.67 -10.2%

Over 3.5 31.7% 38.2% 2.62 -17.0%

BTTS 54.6% 61.7% 1.62 -11.6%

Home O1.5 49.9% 59.9% 1.67 -16.7%

Away O1.5 31.8% 30.8% 3.25 +3.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 74 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 11.7%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 53% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 2–0 9.5%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chojniczanka Chojnice1.7

Resovia Rzeszów1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CHOJNICZANKA CHOJNICE · PPG 1.26

RESOVIA RZESZÓW · PPG 0.93

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Chojniczanka Chojnice (H) 52.6%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -8.0%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -12.1%

Resovia Rzeszów (A) 23.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -4.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chojniczanka Chojnice face Resovia Rzeszów in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chojniczanka Chojnice a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Resovia Rzeszów 23%, so Chojniczanka Chojnice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 1.0 for Resovia Rzeszów (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chojniczanka Chojnice are averaging 1.26 points per game versus 0.93 for Resovia Rzeszów. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +10.6%.

Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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