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Vítkovice vs Uničov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 17 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 14:30

Vítkovice

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDLW

UPCOMING

Uničov

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.1% vs bookmaker-implied 61.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-110.3%0-27.3%0-33.4%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.8%1-112.4%1-28.8%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.3%2-17.5%2-25.3%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.1%3-13.0%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% 30.3% 3.30 +6.6%

Draw 26.0% 29.4% 3.40 -7.0%

Away win 41.7% 52.6% 1.90 -20.8%

Over 2.5 50.7% 54.1% 1.85 -6.2%

Over 3.5 31.1% 34.2% 2.92 -9.2%

BTTS 54.1% 61.3% 1.63 -11.8%

Home O1.5 33.0% 37.9% 2.64 -12.9%

Away O1.5 42.2% 51.3% 1.95 -17.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 35.9%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.1%

A 42% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 0–1 10.3%

#4 0–0 7.3%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vítkovice1.2

Uničov1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VÍTKOVICE · PPG 1.30

UNIČOV · PPG 2.08

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vítkovice (H) 32.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +6.6%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.0%

Uničov (A) 41.7%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vítkovice face Uničov in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vítkovice a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Uničov 42%, so Uničov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vítkovice and 1.4 for Uničov (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vítkovice are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 2.08 for Uničov. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +11.7%.

Vítkovice vs Uničov Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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