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P. Tczew W vs C. Sosnowiec W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 10:00

P. Tczew W

PPG 0.29 · HOME

0 – 8

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

C. Sosnowiec W

PPG 2.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home POOR (0.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-12.4%0-26.1%0-310.5%0-4+59.1%1 1-00.1%1-10.6%1-21.5%1-32.5%1-4+14.3%2 2-00.0%2-10.1%2-20.2%2-30.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-00.0%3-10.0%3-20.0%3-30.0%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 0.2% — — —

Draw 1.2% — — —

Away win 98.5% — — —

Over 2.5 90.3% — — —

Over 3.5 78.3% — — —

BTTS 21.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 85%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-8

xG (home)0.2 xG (away)5.1 BTTS prob21.4%

A 98% / xG 0.2-5.1 / O2.5 90% / NoBTTS 21%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–5 13.8%

#2 0–4 13.4%

#3 0–3 10.5%

#4 0–2 6.1%

#5 1–5 3.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Tczew W0.2

C. Sosnowiec W5.1

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 90.3% · O3.5 PROB 78.3%

Form & verdict PPG

P. TCZEW W · PPG 0.29

C. SOSNOWIEC W · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home POOR (0.29)

Win probability 1X2

P. Tczew W (H) 0.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 1.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

C. Sosnowiec W (A) 98.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Tczew W face C. Sosnowiec W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Tczew W a 0% chance, the draw 1% and C. Sosnowiec W 99%, so C. Sosnowiec W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.2 for P. Tczew W and 5.1 for C. Sosnowiec W (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-5. There is a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 21% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Tczew W are averaging 0.29 points per game versus 2.38 for C. Sosnowiec W. This match finished 0-8.

P. Tczew W vs C. Sosnowiec W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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