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Lech Poznan UAM vs Gornik Leczna W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 10:00

Lech Poznan UAM

PPG 1.71 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Gornik Leczna W

PPG 2.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home GOOD (1.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-18.7%0-213.2%0-313.4%0-4+21.7%1 1-01.5%1-14.4%1-26.8%1-36.9%1-4+11.2%2 2-00.4%2-11.1%2-21.7%2-31.8%2-4+2.9%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 3.7% — — —

Draw 9.4% — — —

Away win 87.0% — — —

Over 2.5 69.0% — — —

Over 3.5 47.7% — — —

BTTS 38.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)3.0 BTTS prob38.3%

A 87% / xG 0.5-3.0 / O2.5 69% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 13.4%

#2 0–2 13.2%

#3 0–4 10.2%

#4 0–1 8.7%

#5 1–3✓ 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lech Poznan UAM0.5

Gornik Leczna W3.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LECH POZNAN UAM · PPG 1.71

GORNIK LECZNA W · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Lech Poznan UAM (H) 3.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 9.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gornik Leczna W (A) 87.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lech Poznan UAM face Gornik Leczna W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lech Poznan UAM a 4% chance, the draw 9% and Gornik Leczna W 87%, so Gornik Leczna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Lech Poznan UAM and 3.0 for Gornik Leczna W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lech Poznan UAM are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 2.38 for Gornik Leczna W. This match finished 1-3.

Lech Poznan UAM vs Gornik Leczna W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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