Today / Poland - Ekstraliga Women / GKS Katowice W vs P. Szczecin W

GKS Katowice W vs P. Szczecin W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 09:00

GKS Katowice W logo
GKS Katowice W
PPG 1.43 · HOME
4 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
P. Szczecin W logo
P. Szczecin W
PPG 2.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home AVERAGE (1.43)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-18.8%0-211.6%0-310.1%0-4+12.5%1 1-02.6%1-16.8%1-28.9%1-37.8%1-4+9.6%2 2-01.0%2-12.6%2-23.4%2-33.0%2-4+3.7%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 8.6%
Draw 14.4%
Away win 77.0%
Over 2.5 65.9%
Over 3.5 44.0%
BTTS 49.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 87%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 62%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-2
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob49.7%

A 77% / xG 0.8-2.6 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.6%
#2 0–3 10.1%
#3 1–2 8.9%
#4 0–1 8.8%
#5 1–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GKS Katowice W0.8
P. Szczecin W2.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GKS KATOWICE W · PPG 1.43

P. SZCZECIN W · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

GKS Katowice W (H) 8.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 14.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
P. Szczecin W (A) 77.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

GKS Katowice W face P. Szczecin W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GKS Katowice W a 9% chance, the draw 14% and P. Szczecin W 77%, so P. Szczecin W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for GKS Katowice W and 2.6 for P. Szczecin W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GKS Katowice W are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 2.38 for P. Szczecin W. This match finished 4-2.

PredictVantage

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