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FA 2000 vs Skive Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:00

FA 2000

PPG 1.07 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLD

UPCOMING

Skive

PPG 1.84 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.0% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-19.0%0-27.1%0-33.7%0-4+2.1%1 1-07.4%1-111.6%1-29.1%1-34.8%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.8%2-17.5%2-25.9%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.0%3-13.2%3-22.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% 36.4% 2.75 -6.2%

Draw 23.9% 34.7% 2.88 -18.7%

Away win 42.1% 41.7% 2.40 +1.0%

Over 2.5 53.8% 48.1% 2.08 +11.9%

Over 3.5 33.1% 26.7% 3.75 +24.1%

BTTS 56.0% 57.1% 1.75 -2.0%

Home O1.5 38.4% 40.0% 2.50 -4.0%

Away O1.5 47.9% 36.4% 2.75 +31.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 39%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob56.0%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 0–1 9.0%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FA 20001.3

Skive1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FA 2000 · PPG 1.07

SKIVE · PPG 1.84

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FA 2000 (H) 34.1%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -6.2%

Draw 23.9%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -18.7%

Skive (A) 42.1%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

FA 2000 face Skive in Denmark - 2. Division on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FA 2000 a 34% chance, the draw 24% and Skive 42%, so Skive are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for FA 2000 and 1.6 for Skive (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FA 2000 are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.84 for Skive. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +49.6%.

FA 2000 vs Skive Prediction— Denmark - 2. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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