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United vs Wari Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 09:30

United

PPG 1.86 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLWW

8 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Wari

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLL

// Model verdict

Home 69% chance

xG gap +1.60 for Home, form 1.86 vs 0.43 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-13.4%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.8%1-18.0%1-22.9%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.6%2-19.3%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.8%3-17.3%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.9%4+-17.4%4+-22.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.8% — — —

Draw 17.5% — — —

Away win 13.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.9% — — —

Over 3.5 40.2% — — —

BTTS 52.9% — — —

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 18.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.6%

#2 3–0 9.8%

#3 1–0 10.8%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 1–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

United2.3

Wari0.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

UNITED · PPG 1.86

WARI · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

69%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.60 for Home, form 1.86 vs 0.43 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

United (H) 68.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wari (A) 13.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

United face Wari in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives United a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Wari 14%, so United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for United and 0.7 for Wari (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, United are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.43 for Wari. This match finished 8-0.

United vs Wari Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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