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Calcutta Police vs Peerless Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 09:30

Calcutta Police

PPG 0.76 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Peerless

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.6%0-120.3%0-210.6%0-33.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.6%1-112.0%1-26.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-03.4%2-13.6%2-21.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.7%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.1% 29.9% 3.35 -11.6%

Draw 32.6% 30.8% 3.25 +5.9%

Away win 43.2% 51.3% 1.95 -15.8%

Over 2.5 34.5% 54.1% 1.85 -36.2%

Over 3.5 18.2% 31.8% 3.14 -25.7%

BTTS 43.6% 57.8% 1.73 -24.6%

Home O1.5 30.6% 34.1% 2.93 -10.3%

Away O1.5 32.5% 49.5% 2.02 -34.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob43.6%

A 43% / xG 0.6-1.0 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.6%

#2 0–1 20.3%

#3 1–0✓ 11.6%

#4 1–1 12.0%

#5 0–2 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Calcutta Police0.6

Peerless1.0

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CALCUTTA POLICE · PPG 0.76

PEERLESS · PPG 1.48

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.45, combined xG 1.63 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Calcutta Police (H) 24.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -11.6%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +5.9%

Peerless (A) 43.2%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -15.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Calcutta Police face Peerless in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Calcutta Police a 24% chance, the draw 33% and Peerless 43%, so Peerless are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Calcutta Police and 1.0 for Peerless (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Calcutta Police are averaging 0.76 points per game versus 1.48 for Peerless. This match finished 1-0.

Calcutta Police vs Peerless Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More India - Calcutta Premier Division Predictions