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Calcutta Police vs Kalighat Club Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 09:30

Calcutta Police

PPG 1.08 · HOME

LAST 5

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3 – 0

FULL TIME

Kalighat Club

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

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Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.7%0-114.2%0-25.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.8%1-112.8%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.0%2-15.8%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.4%3-11.7%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% 57.1% 1.75 -29.8%

Draw 32.6% 32.3% 3.10 +1.1%

Away win 27.3% 22.7% 4.40 +12.1%

Over 2.5 34.2% 44.4% 2.25 -23.1%

Over 3.5 18.0% 22.7% 4.40 -12.5%

BTTS 43.7% 48.1% 2.08 -9.1%

Home O1.5 30.9% 45.5% 2.20 -32.0%

Away O1.5 18.2% 23.3% 4.30 -13.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.7%

H 40% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.7%

#2 1–0 17.8%

#3 0–1 14.2%

#4 1–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Calcutta Police0.9

Kalighat Club0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CALCUTTA POLICE · PPG 1.08

KALIGHAT CLUB · PPG 0.83

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.18, combined xG 1.63 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Calcutta Police (H) 40.1%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -29.8%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +1.1%

Kalighat Club (A) 27.3%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +12.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Calcutta Police face Kalighat Club in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Calcutta Police a 40% chance, the draw 33% and Kalighat Club 27%, so Calcutta Police are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Calcutta Police and 0.7 for Kalighat Club (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Calcutta Police are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 0.83 for Kalighat Club. This match finished 3-0.

Calcutta Police vs Kalighat Club Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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