Today / India - Calcutta Premier Division / Peerless vs Mohammedan

Peerless vs Mohammedan Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 09:30

Peerless

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Mohammedan

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 54% chance

Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-19.6%0-26.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.0%1-112.3%1-28.5%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.8%2-18.0%2-25.5%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.5%3-13.4%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.8% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 34.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 34.9% — — —

BTTS 55.9% — — —

Home O1.5 38.4% — — —

Away O1.5 42.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 2–1 8.0%

#3 1–0 9.0%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 2–0✓ 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Peerless1.3

Mohammedan1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PEERLESS · PPG 1.67

MOHAMMEDAN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

54%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Peerless (H) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mohammedan (A) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Peerless face Mohammedan in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peerless a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Mohammedan 35%, so Peerless are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Peerless and 1.4 for Mohammedan (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peerless are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.00 for Mohammedan. This match finished 2-0.

Peerless vs Mohammedan Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More India - Calcutta Premier Division Predictions