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Measurers vs Calcutta Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 09:30

Measurers

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDWD

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Calcutta Police

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 55% chance

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-19.6%0-25.4%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.5%1-112.8%1-27.2%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.7%2-18.6%2-24.8%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.4%3-13.8%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.7% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 34.3% — — —

Over 2.5 51.6% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 39.0% — — —

Away O1.5 33.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 1–0 11.5%

#3 0–1 9.6%

#4 0–0 8.6%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Measurers1.3

Calcutta Police1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MEASURERS · PPG 1.50

CALCUTTA POLICE · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

55%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Measurers (H) 39.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Calcutta Police (A) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Measurers face Calcutta Police in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Measurers a 40% chance, the draw 26% and Calcutta Police 34%, so Measurers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Measurers and 1.1 for Calcutta Police (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Measurers are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.43 for Calcutta Police. This match finished 3-3.

Measurers vs Calcutta Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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