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Kalighat Club vs Aryan Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 09:30

Kalighat Club

PPG 0.60 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLL

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Aryan

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Away 69% chance

xG gap -1.27 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-122.7%0-218.4%0-39.9%0-4+5.8%1 1-04.8%1-17.8%1-26.4%1-33.4%1-4+2.0%2 2-00.8%2-11.4%2-21.1%2-30.6%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 10.1% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 68.9% — — —

Over 2.5 43.4% — — —

Over 3.5 25.1% — — —

BTTS 41.7% — — —

Home O1.5 2.0% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 22.7%

#2 0–2 18.4%

#3 0–0 14.0%

#4 0–3✓ 9.9%

#5 1–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kalighat Club0.3

Aryan1.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.4% · O3.5 PROB 25.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KALIGHAT CLUB · PPG 0.60

ARYAN · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

69%

DANGER

xG gap -1.27 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Kalighat Club (H) 10.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aryan (A) 68.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kalighat Club face Aryan in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kalighat Club a 10% chance, the draw 21% and Aryan 69%, so Aryan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Kalighat Club and 1.6 for Aryan (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kalighat Club are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.17 for Aryan. This match finished 0-3.

Kalighat Club vs Aryan Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More India - Calcutta Premier Division Predictions