RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

RB Leipzig face Union Berlin in Germany - Bundesliga on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RB Leipzig a 75% chance, the draw 15% and Union Berlin 10%, so RB Leipzig are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for RB Leipzig and 0.9 for Union Berlin (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RB Leipzig are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.93 for Union Berlin. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.4%. This match finished 3-1.