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United Kolkata vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 09:30

United Kolkata

PPG 1.31 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWDL

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

East Bengal

PPG 2.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 65% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-16.6%0-27.6%0-35.9%0-4+6.0%1 1-03.5%1-18.1%1-29.5%1-37.4%1-4+7.4%2 2-02.2%2-15.1%2-25.9%2-34.6%2-4+4.6%3 3-00.9%3-12.1%3-22.4%3-31.9%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.6% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 56.7% — — —

Over 2.5 64.5% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 61.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 69.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.6%

#4 1–3 7.4%

#5 2–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

United Kolkata1.2

East Bengal2.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.5% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UNITED KOLKATA · PPG 1.31

EAST BENGAL · PPG 2.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

65%

DANGER

xG gap -1.09 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

United Kolkata (H) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

East Bengal (A) 56.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

United Kolkata face East Bengal in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives United Kolkata a 23% chance, the draw 21% and East Bengal 57%, so East Bengal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for United Kolkata and 2.3 for East Bengal (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, United Kolkata are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 2.40 for East Bengal. This match finished 0-3.

United Kolkata vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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