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Bidhannagar vs Kalighat Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 09:30

Bidhannagar

PPG 0.22 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLL

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Kalighat

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLDW

// Model verdict

Away 69% chance

xG gap -1.62 for Away, form 0.22 vs 1.40

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-112.4%0-214.1%0-310.6%0-4+10.1%1 1-03.5%1-18.0%1-29.0%1-36.8%1-4+6.5%2 2-01.1%2-12.5%2-22.9%2-32.2%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.2%3-10.5%3-20.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.6% — — —

Draw 18.7% — — —

Away win 68.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 33.7% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 30.8% — — —

Away O1.5 69.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.1%

#2 0–1 12.4%

#3 0–3 10.6%

#4 1–1 8.0%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bidhannagar0.6

Kalighat2.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 33.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BIDHANNAGAR · PPG 0.22

KALIGHAT · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

69%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.62 for Away, form 0.22 vs 1.40

Win probability 1X2

Bidhannagar (H) 12.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kalighat (A) 68.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bidhannagar face Kalighat in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bidhannagar a 13% chance, the draw 19% and Kalighat 69%, so Kalighat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Bidhannagar and 2.3 for Kalighat (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bidhannagar are averaging 0.22 points per game versus 1.40 for Kalighat. This match finished 0-4.

Bidhannagar vs Kalighat Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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