Today / Israel - Ligat Ha'al / Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa Prediction— Israel - Ligat Ha'al

Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:30

Maccabi Tel Aviv

PPG 1.82 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Maccabi Haifa

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-16.1%0-24.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.8%1-110.6%1-27.2%1-33.3%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.8%2-19.3%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.0%3-15.4%3-23.7%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.5%4+-22.4%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 58.8% 1.70 -20.9%

Draw 24.2% 25.0% 4.00 -1.9%

Away win 29.3% 25.3% 3.95 +9.4%

Over 2.5 56.7% 69.0% 1.45 -17.8%

Over 3.5 36.4% 46.5% 2.15 -21.7%

BTTS 57.2% 69.0% 1.45 -17.1%

Home O1.5 49.9% 65.4% 1.53 -23.6%

Away O1.5 42.2% 40.0% 2.50 +5.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob57.2%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Maccabi Tel Aviv1.7

Maccabi Haifa1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MACCABI TEL AVIV · PPG 1.82

MACCABI HAIFA · PPG 1.36

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Maccabi Tel Aviv (H) 46.5%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -20.9%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.9%

Maccabi Haifa (A) 29.3%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +9.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Maccabi Tel Aviv face Maccabi Haifa in Israel - Ligat Ha'al on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maccabi Tel Aviv a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Maccabi Haifa 29%, so Maccabi Tel Aviv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.4 for Maccabi Haifa (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maccabi Tel Aviv are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.36 for Maccabi Haifa. The best value bet our model finds is RES_A/O15, with an expected value of +11.3%. This match finished 3-1.

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa Prediction— Israel - Ligat Ha'al

Match Preview & Prediction

More Israel - Ligat Ha'al Predictions