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Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei Sakhnin Prediction— Israel - Ligat Ha'al

Matchday 1 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 17:00

Maccabi Netanya

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

DW ···

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bnei Sakhnin

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

DL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.8% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-15.3%0-23.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.2%1-110.1%1-26.3%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.0%3-16.2%3-23.8%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-14.6%4+-22.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.2% 62.5% 1.60 -16.5%

Draw 22.9% 23.8% 4.20 -2.3%

Away win 24.9% 25.6% 3.90 -1.7%

Over 2.5 61.9% 57.1% 1.75 +8.3%

Over 3.5 38.7% 36.4% 2.75 +6.4%

BTTS 60.8% 57.8% 1.73 +5.2%

Home O1.5 56.3% 59.9% 1.67 -6.0%

Away O1.5 36.6% 28.6% 3.50 +28.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.8%

H 52% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–2 6.3%

#5 1–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Maccabi Netanya1.9

Bnei Sakhnin1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MACCABI NETANYA · PPG 1.56

BNEI SAKHNIN · PPG 1.14

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Maccabi Netanya (H) 52.2%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -16.5%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -2.3%

Bnei Sakhnin (A) 24.9%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -1.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Maccabi Netanya face Bnei Sakhnin in Israel - Ligat Ha'al on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maccabi Netanya a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Bnei Sakhnin 25%, so Maccabi Netanya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Maccabi Netanya and 1.2 for Bnei Sakhnin (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maccabi Netanya are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.14 for Bnei Sakhnin. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +38.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei Sakhnin Prediction— Israel - Ligat Ha'al

Match Preview & Prediction

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