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United vs NA Suruchi Sangha Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 09:30

United logo
United
PPG 1.61 · HOME
LAST 5
DWLWW
5 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
NA Suruchi Sangha logo
NA Suruchi Sangha
PPG 1.45 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 53% chance

xG gap +0.11, combined xG 2.32 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-110.8%0-26.0%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.0%1-113.2%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.3%2-18.0%2-24.4%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.0%3-13.3%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 39.0%
Draw 27.5%
Away win 33.4%
Over 2.5 50.4%
Over 3.5 28.7%
BTTS 52.9%
Home O1.5 33.4%
Away O1.5 33.2%

League track record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5 59%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%
#2 1–0 12.0%
#3 0–0 9.8%
#4 0–1 10.8%
#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

United1.2
NA Suruchi Sangha1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

UNITED · PPG 1.61

NA SURUCHI SANGHA · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
Chance this pick lands
53%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.11, combined xG 2.32 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

United (H) 39.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
NA Suruchi Sangha (A) 33.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

United face NA Suruchi Sangha in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives United a 39% chance, the draw 28% and NA Suruchi Sangha 33%, so United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for United and 1.1 for NA Suruchi Sangha (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, United are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.45 for NA Suruchi Sangha. This match finished 5-1.

PredictVantage

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