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Kalighat Club vs Mohammedan Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 09:30

Kalighat Club

PPG 0.91 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Mohammedan

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLWL

// Model verdict

Away 60% chance

xG gap -1.02 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-115.7%0-213.3%0-37.6%0-4+4.7%1 1-06.3%1-110.7%1-29.1%1-35.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-02.1%2-13.7%2-23.1%2-31.8%2-4+1.1%3 3-00.5%3-10.8%3-20.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.2% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 59.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.6% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 49.9% — — —

Home O1.5 30.8% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 15.7%

#2 0–2 13.3%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 0–0 9.2%

#5 1–2✓ 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kalighat Club0.7

Mohammedan1.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KALIGHAT CLUB · PPG 0.91

MOHAMMEDAN · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

60%

DANGER

xG gap -1.02 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Kalighat Club (H) 16.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mohammedan (A) 59.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kalighat Club face Mohammedan in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kalighat Club a 16% chance, the draw 24% and Mohammedan 60%, so Mohammedan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Kalighat Club and 1.7 for Mohammedan (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kalighat Club are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.43 for Mohammedan. This match finished 1-2.

Kalighat Club vs Mohammedan Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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