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Peerless vs Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 09:30

Peerless

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Police

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDDLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-114.0%0-27.1%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.3%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.4%2-16.6%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.1%3-12.1%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 30.4% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 25.6% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.3%

#2 0–0 13.7%

#3 1–1 13.5%

#4 0–1 14.0%

#5 2–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Peerless1.0

Police1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PEERLESS · PPG 1.40

POLICE · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

47%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.05, combined xG 1.98 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Peerless (H) 41.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Police (A) 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Peerless face Police in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peerless a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Police 30%, so Peerless are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Peerless and 1.0 for Police (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peerless are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.50 for Police. This match finished 3-1.

Peerless vs Police Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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