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Calcutta Customs vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 09:30

Calcutta Customs

PPG 1.57 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDLW

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

East Bengal

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5 68% chance

xG gap -1.05 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-16.4%0-27.4%0-35.7%0-4+5.7%1 1-03.5%1-18.2%1-29.4%1-37.3%1-4+7.3%2 2-02.2%2-15.2%2-26.0%2-34.6%2-4+4.6%3 3-00.9%3-12.2%3-22.5%3-32.0%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 55.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 61.8% — — —

Home O1.5 37.2% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2✓ 7.4%

#4 1–3 7.3%

#5 2–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Calcutta Customs1.3

East Bengal2.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CALCUTTA CUSTOMS · PPG 1.57

EAST BENGAL · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

68%

DANGER

xG gap -1.05 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Calcutta Customs (H) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

East Bengal (A) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Calcutta Customs face East Bengal in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Calcutta Customs a 23% chance, the draw 21% and East Bengal 56%, so East Bengal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Calcutta Customs and 2.3 for East Bengal (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Calcutta Customs are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 2.60 for East Bengal. This match finished 0-2.

Calcutta Customs vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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