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Patha Chakra vs Bhawanipore Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Regular season ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 09:30

Patha Chakra

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDWL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Bhawanipore

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWW

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5 88% chance

xG gap -3.04 for Away, form 1.20 vs 3.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-15.5%0-210.0%0-312.0%0-4+27.5%1 1-00.9%1-13.1%1-25.7%1-36.8%1-4+15.7%2 2-00.2%2-10.9%2-21.6%2-31.9%2-4+4.5%3 3-00.0%3-10.2%3-20.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.3% — — —

Draw 15.8% — — —

Away win 72.9% — — —

Over 2.5 70.0% — — —

Over 3.5 48.9% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 88.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 12.0%

#2 0–4 10.8%

#3 0–2✓ 10.0%

#4 1–1 3.1%

#5 0–5 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Patha Chakra0.6

Bhawanipore3.6

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.0% · O3.5 PROB 48.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PATHA CHAKRA · PPG 1.20

BHAWANIPORE · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

88%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -3.04 for Away, form 1.20 vs 3.00

Win probability 1X2

Patha Chakra (H) 11.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bhawanipore (A) 72.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Patha Chakra face Bhawanipore in India - Calcutta Premier Division on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Patha Chakra a 11% chance, the draw 16% and Bhawanipore 73%, so Bhawanipore are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Patha Chakra and 3.6 for Bhawanipore (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Patha Chakra are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 3.00 for Bhawanipore. This match finished 0-2.

Patha Chakra vs Bhawanipore Prediction— India - Calcutta Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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